Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.950539 4.226373 4.525208 4.875509 5.278186 5.730739 6.283904
2025-02-16 3.507263 3.861642 4.267113 4.773070 5.399162 6.165576 7.204320
2025-02-23 3.175925 3.574023 4.049247 4.673250 5.496120 6.586133 8.225408
2025-03-02 2.841183 3.245003 3.741366 4.417341 5.352221 6.670595 8.838492
2025-03-09 2.620033 3.034020 3.557155 4.295373 5.366789 6.982031 9.926035
2025-03-16 2.397481 2.802390 3.323849 4.078320 5.212377 7.011203 10.578754
2025-03-23 2.277392 2.693330 3.241986 4.061889 5.353403 7.553349 12.516632
2025-03-30 2.157580 2.575287 3.136910 3.998660 5.410927 7.974383 14.541796
2025-04-06 2.038998 2.450731 3.012425 3.892112 5.379999 8.227699 16.426868
2025-04-13 1.917350 2.314795 2.862093 3.730763 5.231240 8.209980 17.569172
2025-04-20 1.861393 2.266144 2.833479 3.757430 5.421038 8.982191 22.672608
2025-04-27 1.822787 2.239018 2.833671 3.829881 5.710272 10.120822 32.971586
2025-05-04 1.771713 2.198412 2.821497 3.900618 6.058717 11.775245 63.497108
2025-05-11 1.714974 2.146456 2.788518 3.933677 6.349401 13.589686 207.490486
2025-05-18 1.657455 2.090037 2.744440 3.942696 6.599184 15.637289 NaN
2025-05-25 1.576762 1.994758 2.631676 3.811617 6.487562 16.178178 NaN
2025-06-01 1.518631 1.930627 2.565282 3.762198 6.574681 17.877531 NaN
2025-06-08 1.448385 1.844809 2.458064 3.622747 6.398603 18.058035 NaN
2025-06-15 1.411073 1.807582 2.428904 3.634553 6.639053 21.298161 NaN
2025-06-22 1.368882 1.760713 2.380410 3.601928 6.749853 24.168649 NaN
2025-06-29 1.322842 1.705829 2.315047 3.527876 6.721813 26.030798 NaN
2025-07-06 1.271443 1.640641 2.228818 3.402825 6.512431 25.781892 NaN
2025-07-13 1.248550 1.619277 2.216761 3.433582 6.805958 32.668503 NaN